Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.866195 5.467117 6.122708 6.892570 7.773787 8.753190 9.927223
2025-01-05 3.963066 4.753789 5.682637 6.860134 8.321317 10.085548 12.392966
2025-01-12 3.378366 4.253265 5.339133 6.797735 8.723662 11.204508 14.682329
2025-01-19 2.835317 3.704402 4.829805 6.411403 8.604730 11.580272 15.993577
2025-01-26 2.566398 3.465168 4.673887 6.443164 9.008786 12.659381 18.366164
2025-02-02 2.408421 3.350462 4.661866 6.654787 9.667184 14.149795 21.516276
2025-02-09 2.250667 3.214816 4.598780 6.773800 10.187067 15.477919 24.582740
2025-02-16 2.106831 3.082167 4.521727 6.854743 10.644826 16.747348 27.714118
2025-02-23 1.980084 2.961178 4.446963 6.924728 11.082559 18.021877 31.018843
2025-03-02 1.809857 2.757543 4.224462 6.731337 11.057081 18.504989 32.968629
2025-03-09 1.684418 2.613120 4.081473 6.651394 11.209078 19.301537 35.593978
2025-03-16 1.570769 2.478075 3.941297 6.560259 11.326631 20.040798 38.201888
2025-03-23 1.529939 2.461421 3.998865 6.824203 12.126137 22.163525 43.970587
2025-03-30 1.444151 2.362790 3.909584 6.817723 12.422592 23.363112 48.023446
2025-04-06 1.358385 2.257378 3.799427 6.761138 12.614178 24.374537 51.829866
2025-04-13 1.230286 2.069091 3.528561 6.378217 12.120444 23.921625 52.242993
2025-04-20 1.175265 2.006068 3.477451 6.410018 12.465222 25.268949 57.091936
2025-04-27 1.149452 1.993349 3.516580 6.620457 13.201007 27.554265 64.629870
2025-05-04 1.112872 1.958065 3.510416 6.738786 13.752802 29.500511 71.678224
2025-05-11 1.074029 1.915695 3.487196 6.819258 14.229549 31.335461 78.785359
2025-05-18 1.036541 1.873205 3.460267 6.888833 14.688538 33.188385 86.306709
2025-05-25 0.972201 1.774979 3.316708 6.696574 14.524106 33.493307 89.480236
2025-06-01 0.924914 1.706974 3.228695 6.617097 14.615331 34.449735 94.755168